Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
- Strong expectation of support from Government of India (GoI)
The ratings continue to factor in an expectation of strong government support, both on an ongoing basis and in the event of distress. This is because GoI is both the majority shareholder in PSBs and the guardian of India’s financial system. The stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to GoI, given the criticality of the sector to the economy, the strong public perception of sovereign backing for PSBs and the severe implications of any PSB failure in terms of political fallout, systemic stability and investor confidence in public sector institutions. CRISIL Ratings believes that the majority ownership creates a moral obligation on GoI to support PSBs including BoB. As a part of ‘Indradhanush’ framework, government had pledged to infuse at least Rs 70,000 crore in PSBs during fiscal 2015 to 2019. Further in October 2017, the government had outlined a recapitalisation package of Rs 2.11 lakh crores over fiscals 2018 and fiscal 2019. The government allocated Rs 70,000 crore for capital infusion in fiscal 2020. BoB was allocated Rs 5375 crore in fiscal 2018 and Rs 7,000 crore in fiscal 2020. In fiscal 2021, BoB has raised capital of Rs 4500 crore via QIP. CRISIL Ratings believes that GoI will continue to provide distress support to all PSBs including BoB and will not allow any of them to fail. It will also support them in meeting Basel III capital regulations.
- Established franchise and strong market position in the Indian banking sector
Currently BoB is among India’s top five banks by asset size with total assets of Rs 14,73,440 crore as on June 30, 2023 (Rs 14,58,562 crore as on March 31, 2023) with a share of >6% as on June 30, 2023. On the deposits front too, the bank has Rs 11,99,908 crores of deposits as of June 30, 2023, reflecting a share of >6% as on the same date. It is one of the most geographically diversified public sector banks (PSBs) with international presence spanning across 93 offices in 17 countries and bank’s international operations contributing to 14.9% of the global business as on March 31, 2023 (13.6% as on end March 31, 2022).
The bank reported growth of 18.5% in the gross advances in fiscal 2023. The gross advances of the bank thereafter grew by 2.2% sequentially and 18% Y-o-Y to Rs 990,988 crore as on June 30, 2023. This growth was largely driven by retail book which grew by 25% Y-o-Y as well as international advances which grew by 24% Y-o-Y. Within retail book, major contributors to growth were personal loans, home loans and auto loans. The share of international book grew to 18% as on June 30, 2023 (18% as on March 31, 2023) from 15% as on March 31, 2021.
BoB remains adequately capitalized with Tier I and overall CAR (under Basel III) at 13.64% and 15.84% respectively as on June 30, 2023 (13.99% and 16.24% respectively as on March 31, 2023). The bank’s networth coverage for net NPA improved to 13.7 times as on June 30, 2023 (11.7x as on March 31, 2023) from 3.5 times as on March 31, 2021. BoB had raised capital via QIP of Rs 4500 crore during fiscal 2021. Capitalisation has been supported by regular infusion from GoI. CRISIL Ratings believes that BoB will be able to maintain adequate capitalisation over the medium term, backed by capital support from GoI.
BoB has a large, stable and diversified resource profile. The bank has a large deposit base that grew by 16.2% Y-o-Y to Rs 11,99,908 crore as on June 30, 2023 (Rs 12,03,688 crore as on March 31, 2023). Owing to strong international presence, BoB generates about 12% of its deposits from overseas that adequately support and provide geographical diversity to the bank’s resource profile. Overall, the bank’s domestic current and savings account (CASA) deposits grew by 5.5% Y-o-Y translating into CASA ratio of 40.3% as on June 30, 2023 (42.2% as on March 31, 2023). The bank’s CASA ratio has witnessed a decline over last one year in line with the banking industry from 44.2% as on June 30, 2022, however, the bank has been actively focusing on growing its CASA deposits going forward. The average cost of deposits for the quarter ending June 30, 2023 was 4.7% (3.9% for fiscal 2023, 3.5% for fiscal 2022). Share of retail deposits (Savings account + retail term deposits) as a share of domestic deposits stood healthy at 75.8% as on June 30, 2023 (74.7% as on March 31, 2023).
CRISIL Ratings believes that BoB will maintain an adequate resource profile over the medium term given its well spread branch network, diversified investor base and access to international deposits.
Weaknesses:
- Average yet improving asset quality
BOB has reported considerable improvement in the asset quality with Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) improving to 3.5% as on June 30, 2023 (3.8% as on March 31, 2023) from 6.6% as on March 31, 2022. The improvement has been across segments but especially in the corporate book, as evidenced by absolute GNPA reduction of ~Rs 10,900 crore in fiscal 2023 and Rs 2,100 crore in Q1 FY24, resulting in GNPA ratio of corporate book at 0.4% as on June 30, 2023. GNPA ratios of MSMEs and Agriculture, however, still remain elevated at 10.2% and 6.6% respectively as on June 30, 2023. Overall slippage ratio (calculated as Additions to NPA as proportion of Opening Gross Advances) improved to 1.1% in Q1 FY24 (annualized) (1.4% in fiscal 2023) from 1.9% in fiscal 2021. As the PCR increased to 79% as on June 30, 2023, the Net NPA ratio improved to 0.8% as on June 30, 2023 (0.9% as on March 31, 2023) from 1.7% a year ago.
Collections for the bank were impacted during the pandemic period. Collection efficiency (excluding agriculture) has improved since then to 97% in Q1 FY24 (averaged at 98% in FY23). The SMA 1 and SMA 2 accounts as a proportion to standard advances (with exposure above Rs 5 crore as per CRILC data) stood at 0.48% as on June 30, 2023 (0.32% as on March 31, 2023).
Total restructured standard book (all inclusive) as on June 30, 2023 stood at ~Rs 13,192 crore (1.3% of gross advances), out of which MSME accounted for 25% and large corporates accounted for 48%. The bank’s exposure to NCLT accounts stood at Rs 52,612 crore as on June 30, 2023 with an average provision coverage of 96.4%. The bank’s ability to further bring down GNPAs especially for MSME and Agriculture segment will remain key monitorable.
- Improving, yet moderate profitability
Profitability was impacted in the past (with net losses reported in fiscal 2016 and fiscal 2018) owing to elevated GNPA metrics leading to higher credit costs. However, in the recent years, with improvement in the asset quality, BoB’s earnings profile has improved with the bank reporting PAT of Rs 14,110 crore in fiscal 2023 (Rs 7,272 crore in fiscal 2022) and ROA of 1.03% in fiscal 2023 (as compared to 0.60% ROA in fiscal 2022).
While the Net Interest Margin (NIM) for Q1 FY24 contracted as compared to the previous two quarters to 3.0% owing to the interest rate cycle, it was same as that of full year of fiscal 2023. With steady operating expense ratio at 1.8% and credit costs at 0.5% for Q1 FY24, the bank reported ROA of 1.11% for Q1 FY24 (1.03% for FY23) supported by increased fee income.
Going forward, CRISIL Ratings expects the profitability in terms of RoA to hold at current levels in the medium term.